Insights
Macro views & market analysis
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The greater the complexity, the greater the need for agility. This truism applies to everything, including, of course, asset allocation and portfolio strategy.
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Four Chinese companies issued GDRs in the Swiss capital market through the China-Switzerland Stock Connect…
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While the definition of secular inflation is simple, identifying the variables causing it and detecting the early signs of it are not…
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The global macroeconomic backdrop and outlook have become tremendously complex. Economies are moving at different speeds, some contacting or slowing while others are expanding…
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Read our latest thinking and see how we are positioning multi-asset class portfolios in light of our global macro strategy.
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The NATO Summit has concluded with one of the most extraordinary and divisive geopolitical developments in recent history…
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After completely getting the inflation forecast wrong, central banks are now apparently fully confident in getting it back down…
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In ancient and modern times, inflation has remained one of the policymakers’ most undesirable economic problems. Once entrenched, inflation can have broad negative…
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Transformative times are what we live through today and for the foreseeable future. Investing and managing portfolios in such an environment requires a much more hands-on…
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The Fed put, the market’s expectation that the central bank will come to the aid of markets has been in place for decades. It’s the concept, belief…
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Bifurcation is creating new competing power blocs and altering the existing world economic order. Portfolios ‘ARMMD’…
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Once dubbed ‘transitory’, the Fed’s aggressive action on inflation lacks consideration for supply-side issues…
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The inflation outlook has changed dramatically. It has worsened, but no one knows for how long.
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The recent developments in Ukraine are surprising, alarming, horrific. However near-global solidarity in support of Ukraine has also been a surprise.
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The significance of the recent horrific developments in Eastern Europe is difficult to fathom but easier to do when…
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Before the war broke out in Ukraine, our Investment Committee concluded that global growth would decelerate faster, and that monetary policy tightening expectations…
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Great power blocs are being formed more clearly and overtly with broad and far-reaching implications for investment portfolios.
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Evidence of diverging economies and policies is becoming more apparent. Our four “Ds” concept in our 2022 outlook is materializing as global growth…
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Discover GMG’s investment outlook for 2022, which focuses on four major forces transforming the financial markets, investment landscape and our world more generally.
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In the year 2022 and beyond, we believe that the global economy and global markets will undergo forced…
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The subject of growing complexity in the investment landscape has been a frequent topic in our monthly…
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Quality companies are likely to prevail in a more challenging economic environment highlighted in the October Beige Book report by the US central bank…
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Many variables impact markets and investor behaviour. We find that it is increasingly important to analyse the implication of…
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In this investment briefing, our CIO Belal Mohammed Khan summarises GMG’s view on relation and the company’s consequent positioning…
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Recently, the geopolitical shifts towards multi-polarity have become more pronounced and visible. This is most evident in the US as well as…
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Reflation Convictions 25 August 2021 Market Insight by Belal Mohammed Khan When the consensus is wrong, markets tend to sharply adjust. Higher inflation is here […]
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Investor perception of market risk is likely to rise. This will be predominately driven by headline risk concerns emanating from…
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Data breaches can be expensive. A recent IBM report highlighted that the cost of a data breach in 2020 was standing at $3.86mio…
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Startled by arcane corporate accounting and high valuations and spooked by the bubble of the late 80s when the Nikkei 225 topped 25% above today’s levels, international…
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While current market expectations for US inflation are around 2%, several factors point…
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The progressive but strong post-pandemic economic rebound led by China towards the end of the year is the key feature of 2021 so far…
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Given the prominence gained by cryptocurrencies recently, we wanted to synthetize…
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At the beginning of 2020, asset managers looked set to take a bullish view on emerging markets…